Safety Stock Calculations
In classic inventory management, stock holding is based in part on the economics of acquisition and in part on the need to satisfy demand over the lead time and cope
with the uncertainty in that demand. Certain practical considerations (e.g. pack sizes , multiples etc.) are then superimposed to give practical replenishment rules.
Economics of Ordering
The trade off is between the cost of holding stock and
the cost of placing
and administering the order. The simplest form results
in the well known
Economic Order Quantity
Cost of the Item
Annual Demand
Stock Holding Rate
Order cost
The key question in deciding whether to place an order is whether, if the order is not placed, there is sufficient
stock on hand and on order to meet demand until the next time stock can be ordered and received.
This is called the Forecast of Demand in the Lead Time and, as with any forecast, has an element of uncertainty
The objective of Safety stock is to cover an agreed percentage (Service Level) of the demand over and above the forecast
There are two different formulae depending on the definiton of service level used.
1. Order Line:
95% means 95% of all order lines will be satisified on time and in full
2. Order Quantity:
95% means 95% of all demand will be satisfied on time
Suppose a company has 9 in stock and it takes 10 orders for 1 unit then, under both definitions, it achieves 90% service level
But suppose it takes one order for 10, under definition 1 it achieves 0% and under definition 2 it achieves 90% service level
Order Line Service
Monthly Demand
units
Weeks/month
weeks
Forecast Error
100*SD/Fcst
Order Interval
weeks
Lead Time
weeks
Service Level
Safety Stock
Order Quantity Service
Monthly Demand
units
Weeks/month
4
weeks
Forecast Error
100*SD/Fcst
Order Interval
weeks
Lead Time
weeks
Service Level
Safety Stock
Combining Batch and Safety Stock
The interesting factor is that the Order Quantity
(or interval) affects the safety stock required
Plotting this suggests that there is a combination
of Order Quantity and Safety Stock that will
deliver the required service for the minimum
investment in inventory
In this case the optimum is when
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